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Uber IPO Ridesharing Losses and Valuation

May 10, 2019 → Nov 6, 2019 UBER — Uber Technologies Inc. intermediate

Market Context & Analysis

Starting Price: $45.00

Uber goes public at $45, valuing company at $82B. Massive losses continuing—over $1B per quarter. Path to profitability unclear. Competition from Lyft, international competitors. Regulatory risks around driver classification. Self-driving cars not working. Growth slowing.

Strong pre-pandemic economy. Gig economy booming. Urban transportation market huge. Venture capital abundant but IPO window closing.

California AB5 threatens driver classification. Multiple countries and cities restricting or banning. Labor regulations tightening. Gig economy model questioned.

Uber dominates US ridesharing with Lyft competition. International markets competitive and losing money. Freight, Eats diversification losing more money. Self-driving not working. CEO Dara Khosrowshahi trying to clean up culture.

Unprofitable tech IPOs losing favor. WeWork debacle shaking confidence. Questions about unit economics. Network effects questioned if subsidizing riders and drivers.

  • Massive ongoing losses—$1B+ per quarter
  • Path to profitability unclear
  • Regulatory risks around driver classification
  • Competition from Lyft and international players
  • Growth slowing from unsustainable rates
  • Self-driving technology not delivering
  • Valuation stretched for unprofitable company

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