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FedEx Amazon In-House Delivery Threat

Jun 7, 2019 → Dec 17, 2019 FDX — FedEx Corporation intermediate

Market Context & Analysis

Starting Price: $160.00

FedEx ends ground delivery contract with Amazon, saying it's de-prioritizing relationship. Amazon building own logistics network—drones, planes, trucks, delivery drivers. This is existential threat to FedEx's largest customer becoming largest competitor.

Strong economy with e-commerce growth driving package volume. Logistics sector tight with driver shortages. Last-mile delivery economics challenging.

No major political factors. Gig economy labor classification debates ongoing.

Amazon represents growing portion of FedEx volume. But Amazon building own logistics—100 planes, thousands of trucks, delivery drivers. FedEx choosing to exit relationship before pushed out. Investing in automation.

Amazon logistics threat existential. Best customer becoming biggest competitor. Questions about industry structure long-term. UPS facing same threat.

  • Largest customer becoming largest competitor
  • Amazon building comprehensive logistics network
  • FedEx choosing to exit before pushed out
  • E-commerce volume growth offsetting Amazon loss
  • Automation and efficiency improvements needed
  • Industry capacity tight short-term
  • Long-term competitive structure uncertain

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